← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 27, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Leganes win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Ivanildo Fernandes · Almeria |
| 16' | 🟥 | Rubén Pérez · Leganes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Leganes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kenneth Omeruo · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manu Morlanes · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Asier Riesgo · Leganes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manu Morlanes · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Muñoz · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
| 12 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 269.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1567.40 | 1596.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.97 | -25.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 56.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.63 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 25.48 | 29.06 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |