← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ponferradina win | 22% | 4.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Sergio Aguza · Ponferradina |
| 40' | ⚽ | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Oviedo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 420.00 | 1030.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1495.54 | 1485.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.08 | 14.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 40.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |