← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 48% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Oviedo win | 20% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 31' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Valjent · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 231.00 | 413.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1613.39 | 1490.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.76 | 12.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| league points | 61.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 28.12 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |