← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Mar 19, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Girona win | 30% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Girona |
| 56' | 🟨 | Bernardo Espinosa · Girona |
| 64' | ⚽ | Yan Couto · Girona |
| 69' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ramón Terrats · Girona |
| 90' | 🟥 | Santiago Bueno · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 749.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1475.14 | 1497.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.46 | -4.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 26.27 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |