← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Las Palmas win | 24% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Borja Garcés · Fuenlabrada |
| 9' | 🟨 | Cristian Rivera · Las Palmas |
| 32' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 35' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 66' | 🟥 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 71' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 86' | 🟨 | Aldair Fuentes · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 40.00 | 743.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1492.34 | 1462.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.44 | -34.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.11 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.88 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |