← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Mar 12, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Zaragoza win | 22% | 4.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Álvaro García · Zaragoza |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 41' | ⚽ | Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 56' | 🟨 | Óscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fran García · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 64' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 70' | ⚽ | Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 87' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 🟨 |
| Mario Hernández · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 223.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1534.61 | 1435.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.18 | 5.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 44.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |