← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Cartagena win | 16% | 6.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mallorca −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Iddrisu Baba · Mallorca |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giorgi Aburjania · Cartagena |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 45' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Mallorca |
| 64' | ⚽ | David Fornies · Cartagena |
| 71' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Giménez · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adalberto Carrasquilla · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 218.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1644.02 | 1410.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.42 | 29.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| league points | 58.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 8.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 30.21 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |