← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 42% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Las Palmas win | 26% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Las Palmas +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Las Palmas |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 86' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Sergio Ruiz Alonso · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 736.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1462.25 | 1534.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.87 | -23.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |