← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 35% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Tenerife win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Álex Alegría · Zaragoza |
| 50' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Tenerife |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nono · Tenerife |
| 76' | 🟨 | Javier Alonso · Tenerife |
| 78' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Tenerife |
| 87' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 217.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1424.43 | 1507.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.24 | 24.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 28.34 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |