← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Las Palmas win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Javi Moyano · Castellon |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
| 24' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 27' | 🟥 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 32' | 🟨 | César Díaz · Castellon |
| 42' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rafa Mújica · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dani Castellano · Las Palmas |
| 56' | 🟨 | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jorge Fernández |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 81' | ⚽ | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alex Suárez · Las Palmas |
| coach days | 576.00 | 729.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1378.37 | 1483.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.03 | -16.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.00 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |