← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
| Cartagena win | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Cartagena +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Rafa Mújica · Las Palmas |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 19' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 38' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Las Palmas |
| 65' | 🟨 | Raúl Navas · Cartagena |
| 74' | 🟨 | Giorgi Aburjania · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 722.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1473.71 | 1405.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.03 | 15.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 30.67 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.43 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |