← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Feb 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Castellon win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fuenlabrada +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Alex Mula · Fuenlabrada |
| 12' | 🟨 | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 35' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Yann Bodiger · Castellon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Cubillas · Castellon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Franchu · Fuenlabrada |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jorge Fernández · Castellon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Iago Indias · Castellon |
| 77' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 564.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1392.65 | 1485.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.02 | -16.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 8.03 | 8.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.36 | 26.03 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |