← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Las Palmas win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ivanildo Fernandes · Almeria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 28' | 🟨 | Juan Villar · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Villar · Almeria |
| 48' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Rafa Mújica · Las Palmas |
| 54' | ⚽ | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dani Castellano · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 228.00 | 716.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1572.88 | 1482.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.49 | 11.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 27.86 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |