← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Feb 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Lugo win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona +0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 9' | ⚽ | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Miguelón · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 58' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 71' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 80' | 🟨 | Roberto Canella · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟥 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ander Cantero · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 252.00 | 435.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1477.11 | 1618.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.07 | -28.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 8.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.05 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |