← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 45% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Tenerife win | 24% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mario Suárez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 48' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 75' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dani Hernández · Tenerife |
| 88' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 89' | 🟨 | Joselu · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran García · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 🟥 |
| Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1571.78 | 1481.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.04 | 19.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 28.71 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |