← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Feb 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Albacete win | 19% | 5.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Albacete +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 37' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 37' | 🟥 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 44' | 🟨 | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Mallorca |
| 59' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Mallorca |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jean Mvondo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Franco Russo · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 66.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1442.55 | 1634.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.28 | -11.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.21 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |