← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Jan 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Cartagena win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Cartagena +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristo González · Mirandes |
| 27' | ⚽ | Cristo González · Mirandes |
| 30' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Cartagena |
| 58' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 77' | 🟨 | Daniel Vivian · Mirandes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sergio Moreno · Mirandes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Víctor Meseguer · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 24.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1390.53 | 1461.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.33 | -35.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 15.11 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 23.82 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |