← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Jan 23, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Ponferradina win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 19' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 47' | 🟨 | Josua Mejías · Málaga CF |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cristo Romero · Málaga CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jozabed Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 88' | ⚽ | Gaspar Panadero · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 388.00 | 967.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1495.62 | 1448.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.16 | -6.51 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 12.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |