← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Jan 10, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Cartagena win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 18' | 🟨 | Shaq Moore · Tenerife |
| 31' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 37' | 🟨 | Nacho Gil · Cartagena |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 54' | ⚽ | Samuel Shashoua · Tenerife |
| 74' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Álex Martín · Cartagena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 31 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 70.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1485.78 | 1401.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.75 | -17.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.18 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 30.42 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |