← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Jan 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Las Palmas win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mallorca −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 57' | 🟨 | Joan Sastre · Mallorca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Martin Valjent · Mallorca |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dani Castellano · Las Palmas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Diabaté · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 24 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.38 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 162.00 | 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1627.94 | 1484.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.71 | 2.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -1.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 43.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |