← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Jan 9, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.86 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Yanis Rahmani · Málaga CF |
| 25' | 🟨 | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 51' | ⚽ | Matías Nahuel · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 83' | 🟥 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 374.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1497.05 | 1507.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.38 | 7.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 30.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |