← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Jan 3, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Ponferradina win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Almeria −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 21' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 29' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 58' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Ponferradina |
| 76' | 🟥 | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
| 82' | ⚽ | Curro · Ponferradina |
| 83' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 186.00 | 947.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1565.11 | 1456.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.79 | 28.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 14.19 | 16.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |