← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Jan 3, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Castellon win | 31% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Castellon +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 30' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Tenerife |
| 49' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 59' | 🟨 | Javier Alonso · Tenerife |
| 66' | ⚽ | Carlos Pomares · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | César Díaz · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 521.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1384.71 | 1476.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.83 | 7.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 14.92 | 12.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.89 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |