← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Jan 2, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 32% | 2.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Carlos Vigaray · Zaragoza |
| 34' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Cartagena |
| 60' | ⚽ | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Cartagena |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Carlos David · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Igbekeme · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 1.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1402.56 | 1412.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.87 | 5.31 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 13.27 | 13.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.98 | 25.55 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |