← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Dec 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Las Palmas win | 17% | 6.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 36' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Las Palmas |
| 40' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 50' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Las Palmas |
| 58' | ⚽ | Antoñin · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 141.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1544.74 | 1481.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.61 | 19.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 29.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 5.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 25.14 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |