← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 41% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 27% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 40' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 69' | ⚽ | Josep Chavarría · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Josep Chavarría · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 140.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1402.06 | 1481.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.13 | 10.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 11.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.63 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |