← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Málaga CF win | 17% | 5.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Almeria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joaquín Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 60' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Josua Mejías · Málaga CF |
| 70' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 78' | ⚽ | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Cuenca · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| coach days | 165.00 | 347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1560.99 | 1511.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.50 | 4.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 24.87 | 25.34 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |