← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Dec 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Ponferradina win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kaxe · Ponferradina |
| 41' | 🟨 | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 43' | 🟥 | Curro · Ponferradina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 81' | ⚽ | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 193.00 | 924.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1473.87 | 1453.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.35 | 39.68 |
| eye test v1 | -1.45 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.03 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.10 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |