← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Dec 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 57% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Castellon win | 16% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Mallorca −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 12' | ⚽ | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
| 55' | ⚽ | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 72' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Sedlar · Mallorca |
| 73' | ⚽ | Eneko Satrustegui · Castellon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Eneko Satrustegui · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 128.00 | 494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1630.15 | 1371.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.54 | 5.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.91 | 0.64 |
| league points | 36.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.08 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 28.11 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |