← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Cartagena win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Nacho Gil · Cartagena |
| 17' | ⚽ | Cristian Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 42' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 58' | ⚽ | Alberto de la Bella · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto de la Bella · Cartagena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julio Martinez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 339.00 | 370.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1525.78 | 1408.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.92 | -33.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 28.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 3.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.08 | -1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |