← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 |
| Lugo win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 55' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟥 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 157.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1497.40 | 1471.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.59 | -2.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 3.86 | 2.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 24.36 | 27.47 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |