← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Dec 2, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Las Palmas win | 31% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.46 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 19' | ⚽ | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 33' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟥 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.36 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 184.00 | 642.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1472.90 | 1481.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.43 | -6.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| league points | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.02 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.56 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 25.26 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |