← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Cartagena win | 21% | 4.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Jean-Pierre Rhyner · Cartagena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luis Advíncula · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antoñin · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Cartagena |
| 53' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 119.00 | 363.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1547.77 | 1413.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.08 | -27.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 2.97 | 2.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 28.67 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |