← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Nov 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Lugo win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 27' | ⚽ | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 40' | ⚽ | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 56' | 🟥 | Cayetano Quintana · Málaga CF |
| 57' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 70' | ⚽ | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 88' | ⚽ | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramón Enríquez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 331.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1510.23 | 1470.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.47 | 2.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.19 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |