← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Nov 25, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Cartagena win | 29% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Mallorca +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Iddrisu Baba · Mallorca |
| 13' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Cartagena |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 71' | 🟨 | Carlos David · Cartagena |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jack Harper · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟥 | Carlos David · Cartagena |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jean-Pierre Rhyner · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manolo Reina · Mallorca |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.37 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 360.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1420.05 | 1602.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.95 | 6.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.96 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 4.23 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.44 | 25.87 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |