← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Nov 25, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Ponferradina win | 22% | 4.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Ivan Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 57' | ⚽ | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 71' | ⚽ | Óscar Pinchi · Fuenlabrada |
| 80' | 🟨 | Carlos Doncel Ordonez · Ponferradina |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 89' | 🟨 | Edward Bolaños · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 2 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 269.00 | 908.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1523.54 | 1423.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.78 | -8.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |