← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Nov 22, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Zaragoza win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Manu · Ponferradina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 46' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Antonio Sola · Ponferradina |
| 69' | 🟨 | Curro · Ponferradina |
| 73' | 🟨 | Antonio Sola · Zaragoza |
| 78' | ⚽ | Daniel Romera · Ponferradina |
| 81' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 905.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1413.99 | 1440.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.44 | -23.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.71 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |