← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Castellon win | 16% | 6.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Castellon −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 36' | 🟨 | Álvaro Fidalgo · Castellon |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Guillem Jaime · Castellon |
| 82' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Igor Zlatanović · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 112.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1534.70 | 1376.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.45 | -17.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 4.89 | 5.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 24.87 | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |