← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Málaga CF win | 25% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Luis Perea · Leganes |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Juande Rivas · Leganes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Unai Bustinza · Leganes |
| 63' | ⚽ | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Sabin Merino · Leganes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Tarin · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 325.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1506.86 | 1600.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.29 | -3.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | — |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 28.34 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |