← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Nov 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Castellon win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Castellon +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
| 51' | 🟨 | Álvaro Fidalgo · Castellon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Cartagena |
| 76' | ⚽ | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 79' | 🟨 | César Díaz · Castellon |
| 80' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alvaro Campos Estelles · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nacho Gil · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 472.00 | 350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1365.60 | 1442.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.28 | 17.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.01 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 29.15 |
| state index | -1.45 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.38 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |