← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, Nov 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 35% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Zaragoza win | 32% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Christian Fernández · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Borja Sánchez · Oviedo |
| 49' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Oviedo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟥 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 9 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 104.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1451.24 | 1500.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.47 | 4.22 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.85 |
| league points | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 5.02 | 5.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 27.72 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |