← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Castellon win | 22% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Castellon −0.25 | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jordi Sánchez · Castellon |
| 46' | ⚽ | Borja Sánchez · Oviedo |
| 53' | ⚽ | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alejandro Arribas · Oviedo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 87' | 🟨 | David Cubillas · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 281.00 | 465.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1490.97 | 1375.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.83 | -32.90 |
| eye test v1 | -1.33 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.27 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 26.43 |
| state index | -0.36 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 1.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |