← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Nov 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Ulloa · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Advíncula · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 153.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1467.53 | 1555.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.68 | -0.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.06 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.25 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |