← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Oct 31, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Oviedo win | 27% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 19' | ⚽ | Matías Nahuel · Oviedo |
| 21' | ⚽ | Matías Nahuel · Oviedo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 88' | ⚽ | Alex Suárez · Las Palmas |
| 89' | 🟨 | Javi Mier · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 610.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1498.24 | 1478.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.15 | -16.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -1.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 2.97 | 2.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | — |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |