← Segunda División 2020 · Thu, Oct 29, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟥 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 25' | 🟨 | Bruno Wilson · Tenerife |
| 28' | 🟨 | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 39' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nono · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joselu · Tenerife |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juanpe · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 333.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1492.78 | 1465.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.46 | 25.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.60 |
| league points | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 4.03 | 5.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |