← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Oct 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 34% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Castellon win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Castellon +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 47' | ⚽ | Francisco Villalba · Almeria |
| 50' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jorge Fernández · Castellon |
| 81' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟥 | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 454.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1394.03 | 1491.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.80 | -18.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 3.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 24.54 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.54 | 1.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |