← Segunda División 2020 · Tue, Oct 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.17 |
| Cartagena win | 22% | 4.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Girona −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Girona |
| 23' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 38' | 🟥 | David Fornies · Cartagena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sebastián Cristóforo · Girona |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Girona |
| 68' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adalberto Carrasquilla · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Álex Martín · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadi Municipal de Montilivi |
| coach days | 148.00 | 331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.45 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1512.08 | 1447.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.34 | 53.18 |
| eye test v1 | -1.36 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 29.10 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |