← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Oct 25, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Albacete win | 20% | 4.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Flavien Boyomo · Albacete |
| 47' | ⚽ | Eddy Silvestre · Albacete |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 80' | ⚽ | Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fran García Solsona · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 25 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 24.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1445.72 | 1555.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.96 | -7.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |