← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.87 |
| Girona win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Castellon win | 31% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Castellon +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.41 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 42' | ⚽ | Enric Franquesa · Girona |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Castellon |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mamadou Sylla · Girona |
| 83' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 25 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 450.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1402.88 | 1503.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.80 | -20.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.14 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.06 | 3.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.40 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |