← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 37% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.75 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Fuenlabrada +0 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Manu Morlanes · Almeria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 42' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 54' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Fuenlabrada |
| 64' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 74' | 🟥 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sotillos · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 115.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1473.61 | 1535.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.47 | 6.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.95 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.69 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |